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Venados Fc vs Atletico Morelia Match Preview

Head to head, form and market statistics ahead of Venados Fc vs Atletico Morelia on 4 Nov 2026.

Mexico  /  
  Ascenso MX  /  

Venados Fc

Home Team
  Mexico: Ascenso MX
Matchday: 1

04/11/2026 23:00

Status: SCH

Atletico Morelia

Away Team

Match Info

Projection2 - 1xG 1.82 – 1.35 · Venados Fc 49% · Draw 23% · Atletico Morelia 28%

Value vs the market

SelectionPriceFairEdge
Home win2.372.06+15%

Fair price from this season's model. Edge is price divided by fair price. The model is built partly from these odds, so an edge is where recent home and away form disagrees with them – not a tip.

Corners & Cards - This Season

Venados FcAtletico Morelia

8.1Corners per game
6.5
4.5Corners won per game
4.4
3.6Corners conceded per game
2.1
Per-game figures over each team's 15 and 15 games in this competition.

Most Common Results

Result frequency 15 matches each

Scored - concededVenados Fc (15)Atletico Morelia (15)
1-1D3
20.0%
2
13.3%
2-1W2
13.3%
2
13.3%
1-2L1
6.7%
2
13.3%
1-3L1
6.7%
2
13.3%
4-1W0
2
13.3%
3-2W2
13.3%
0
Other65
Scorelines are shown from each side's own point of view, across their matches in this competition.

Stats - Mexico Ascenso MX

* Average stats between Venados Fc and Atletico Morelia across current season

AVG Goals
3.37
League:
BTTS
77%
League:
Under 1.5 -
13%
League:
Over 2.5 +
67%
League:
Corners
7.33
League:
ODDS
Status
1
X
2
Under 2.5
Over 2.5
GG
NG
Full Time
2.37asianodds
3.55pinnacle
2.99marathon
2.36pinnacle
1.68SBT
1.46marathon
2.49marathon
Status
1
X
2
Under 1.5
Over 1.5
GG
NG
Half Time
2.78pinnacle
2.45pinnacle
3.30pinnacle
1.58pinnacle
2.30pinnacle
-
-
Status
1
X
2
Full Time
2.37asianodds
3.55pinnacle
2.99marathon
Status
1
X
2
Half Time
2.78pinnacle
2.45pinnacle
3.30pinnacle
Under 2.5
Over 2.5
GG
NG
2.36pinnacle
1.68SBT
1.46marathon
2.49marathon
Under 1.5
Over 1.5
GG
NG
1.58pinnacle
2.30pinnacle
-
-
DRAW NO BET / DOUBLE CHANCE / ODD-EVEN - FULL TIME
DNB 1
DNB 2
1X
12
X2
Odd
Even
-
-
1.33marathon
1.25marathon
1.62marathon
1.89marathon
1.81marathon
CORNERS & CARDS
Corners < 10
Corners > 10
1H Corners < 4.5
1H Corners > 4.5
Cards < 3.5
Cards > 3.5
1.83pinnacle
1.88pinnacle
1.88pinnacle
1.83pinnacle
-
-
ASIAN HANDICAP
Home -0.25
Away -0.25
1H Home 0
1H Away 0
Corners Home +0.5
Corners Away +0.5
2.03pinnacle
1.82marathon
1.73pinnacle
2.11marathon
1.81pinnacle
1.90pinnacle
HALF TIME / FULL TIME
1/1
1/X
1/2
X/1
X/X
X/2
2/1
2/X
2/2
3.30marathon
13.75marathon
29.00marathon
5.50marathon
5.70marathon
7.20marathon
24.00marathon
13.75marathon
4.90marathon

HOME

Venados Fc
  Ascenso MX
Form
Last 6
PPG
Overall
D2026-10-31 01:00:00
Correcaminos De La Uat - Venados Fc
0-0
W2026-10-24 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Alacranes De Durango
3-2
D2026-10-18 01:00:00
Cancun Fc - Venados Fc
1-1
D2026-10-10 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Leones Negros
1-1
W2026-10-03 03:00:00
Atletico La Paz - Venados Fc
1-2
W2026-09-26 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Atletico Morelia
2-1
1.67
Home
W2026-10-24 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Alacranes De Durango
3-2
D2026-10-10 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Leones Negros
1-1
W2026-09-26 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Atletico Morelia
2-1
W2026-09-12 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Tepatitlan Fc
5-0
W2026-08-20 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Dorados
4-2
W2026-08-08 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Tapatio
3-2
2.71
Away
D2026-10-31 01:00:00
Correcaminos De La Uat - Venados Fc
0-0
D2026-10-18 01:00:00
Cancun Fc - Venados Fc
1-1
W2026-10-03 03:00:00
Atletico La Paz - Venados Fc
1-2
L2026-09-19 01:00:00
Piratas Veracruz - Venados Fc
2-1
L2026-09-06 01:00:00
Jaiba Brava Del Tampico-madero - Venados Fc
4-3
L2026-08-29 22:00:00
Tlaxcala F.c. - Venados Fc
3-1
0.75
Statistics
Overall
Home
Away
Win%
47%
86%
13%
AVG
3.73
4.14
3.38
Scored
2.07
3.00
1.25
Conceded
1.67
1.14
2.13
BTTS
80%
71%
88%

AWAY

Atletico Morelia
  Ascenso MX
Form
Last 6
PPG
Overall
L2026-11-01 01:00:00
Alacranes De Durango - Atletico Morelia
3-1
W2026-10-25 23:00:00
Tapatio - Atletico Morelia
1-2
L2026-10-18 01:00:00
Atletico Morelia - Jaiba Brava Del Tampico-madero
1-2
D2026-10-10 01:00:00
Tepatitlan Fc - Atletico Morelia
1-1
D2026-10-04 01:00:00
Atletico Morelia - Tlaxcala Fc
1-1
L2026-09-26 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Atletico Morelia
2-1
1.73
Home
L2026-10-18 01:00:00
Atletico Morelia - Jaiba Brava Del Tampico-madero
1-2
D2026-10-04 01:00:00
Atletico Morelia - Tlaxcala Fc
1-1
W2026-09-20 01:00:00
Atletico Morelia - Leones Negros
2-0
W2026-09-06 01:00:00
Atletico Morelia - Alebrijes Oaxaca
4-1
L2026-08-21 01:00:00
Atletico Morelia - Correcaminos De La Uat
1-3
W2026-08-09 01:00:00
Atletico Morelia - Cancun Fc
4-1
1.86
Away
L2026-11-01 01:00:00
Alacranes De Durango - Atletico Morelia
3-1
W2026-10-25 23:00:00
Tapatio - Atletico Morelia
1-2
D2026-10-10 01:00:00
Tepatitlan Fc - Atletico Morelia
1-1
L2026-09-26 23:00:00
Venados Fc - Atletico Morelia
2-1
W2026-09-13 01:00:00
Mineros De Zacatecas - Atletico Morelia
0-1
W2026-08-29 01:00:00
Dorados - Atletico Morelia
0-1
1.63
Statistics
Overall
Home
Away
Win%
53%
57%
50%
AVG
3.00
3.86
2.25
Scored
1.73
2.43
1.13
Conceded
1.27
1.43
1.13
BTTS
73%
86%
63%
1X2
O/U
O/U 0.5
O/U 1.5
O/U 2.5
O/U 3.5
O/U 4.5
O/U 5.5
O/U 6.5
BTS
GR
0 - 1
2 - 3
4 - 6
7+
HT/FT
Corners
O/U 2.5
O/U 3.5
O/U 4.5
O/U 5.5
O/U 6.5
O/U 7.5
O/U 8.5
O/U 9.5
O/U 10.5
O/U 11.5
O/U 12.5
O/U 13.5
Mexico: Ascenso MX
Playoffs
FORM

Venados Fc

Form - Home
2.00

Atletico Morelia

Form - Away
0.83
Correcaminos De La Uat
0-031/10/2026
Venados Fc
Venados Fc
3-224/10/2026
Alacranes De Durango
Cancun Fc
1-118/10/2026
Venados Fc
Venados Fc
1-110/10/2026
Leones Negros
Atletico La Paz
1-203/10/2026
Venados Fc
Venados Fc
2-126/09/2026
Atletico Morelia
Venados Fc is +42% better in terms of Form
Alacranes De Durango
3-101/11/2026
Atletico Morelia
Tapatio
1-225/10/2026
Atletico Morelia
Atletico Morelia
1-218/10/2026
Jaiba Brava Del Tampico-madero
Tepatitlan Fc
1-110/10/2026
Atletico Morelia
Atletico Morelia
1-104/10/2026
Tlaxcala Fc
Venados Fc
2-126/09/2026
Atletico Morelia
OVER+
Over 0.5 +

93%
97%
Average

100%
Over 1.5 +

93%
87%
Average

80%
Over 2.5 +

73%
67%
Average

60%
Over 3.5 +

47%
40%
Average

33%
Over 4.5 +

40%
30%
Average

20%
Over 5.5 +

20%
13%
Average

7%
UNDER-
Under 0.5 -

7%
3%
Average

0%
Under 1.5 -

7%
13%
Average

20%
Under 2.5 -

27%
33%
Average

40%
Under 3.5 -

53%
60%
Average

67%
Under 4.5 -

60%
70%
Average

80%
Under 5.5 -

80%
87%
Average

93%
CORNERS
7.33
Corners / match

* Average corner kicks per match for
Venados Fc and Atletico Morelia for the current season

Venados Fc

8.13  Corners / match

Atletico Morelia

6.53  Corners / match
Corners Over 7.5 ~ 13.5
 
Venados Fc
Atletico Morelia
Over 7.5
73%
47%
60%
Over 8.5
53%
47%
50%
Over 9.5
53%
47%
50%
Over 10.5
40%
40%
40%
Over 11.5
27%
27%
27%
Over 12.5
27%
20%
23%
Over 13.5
13%
20%
17%
Corners Under 7.5 ~ 13.5
 
Venados Fc
Atletico Morelia
Under 7.5
27%
53%
40%
Under 8.5
47%
53%
50%
Under 9.5
47%
53%
50%
Under 10.5
60%
60%
60%
Under 11.5
73%
73%
73%
Under 12.5
73%
80%
77%
Under 13.5
87%
80%
83%
PREVIOUS RESULT

Venados Fc

(33%)
12
4
3
5
(25%)

Atletico Morelia

(42%)

05-09-2025

15-02-2026

14-09-2024

14-09-2024

03-03-2025
Over 0.5 +
100%
12/12 times
Over 1.5 +
75%
9/12 times
Over 2.5 +
58%
7/12 times
Over 3.5 +
25%
3/12 times
BTTS
67%
8/12 times
Clean Sheet
83%
Venados Fc
Clean Sheet
83%
Atletico Morelia
FORM - HALF - TIME

Venados Fc

Form - Home
1.83
HALF TIME
D
L
L
D
Atletico Morelia is +6% better in terms of HT Form

Atletico Morelia

Form - Away
1.17
HALF TIME
L
W
W
L
OVER + - HALF - TIME
Over 0.5 + (HT)

80%
83%
Average

87%
Over 1.5 + (HT)

33%
30%
Average

27%
Over 2.5 + (HT)

27%
13%
Average

0%
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