Derby vs Bolton Match Preview

Head to head, form and market statistics ahead of Derby vs Bolton on 6 Nov 2026.

England /

Championship /

Derby

Home Team

England: Championship

Matchday: 15

06/11/2026 20:00

Status: SCH

Bolton

Away Team

Match Info

VenueiPro StadiumCapacity 33,597

Projection0 - 1xG 1.29 – 1.53 · Derby 32% · Draw 25% · Bolton 43%

Value vs the market

Selection	Price	Fair	Edge
Away win	2.76	2.33	+18%

Fair price from this season's model. Edge is price divided by fair price. The model is built partly from these odds, so an edge is where recent home and away form disagrees with them – not a tip.

Corners & Cards - This Season

DerbyBolton

9.1	Corners per game	9.0
4.7	Corners won per game	4.2
4.4	Corners conceded per game	4.8
3.9	Yellow cards per game	2.9
2.2	Own yellow cards per game	1.6
2	Red cards this season	3

Per-game figures over each team's 14 and 14 games in this competition.

Most Common Results

Result frequency 14 matches each

Scored - conceded	Derby (14)		Bolton (14)
2-3L	0		3	21.4%
1-1D	3	21.4%	0
1-2L	2	14.3%	1	7.1%
0-1L	2	14.3%	1	7.1%
1-0W	0		2	14.3%
1-4L	2	14.3%	0
Other	5		7

Scorelines are shown from each side's own point of view, across their matches in this competition.

Stats - England Championship

* Average stats between Derby and Bolton across current season

AVG Goals

3.04
League: 2.93

BTTS

57%
League: 62%

Under 1.5 -

25%
League: 23%

Over 2.5 +

61%
League: 61%

Cards

3.39
League: 3.72

Corners

9.07
League: 8.85

ODDS

Status

Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Full Time

Status

Under 1.5

Over 1.5

Half Time

Status

Full Time

Status

Half Time

Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Under 1.5

Over 1.5

DRAW NO BET / DOUBLE CHANCE / ODD-EVEN - FULL TIME

DNB 1

DNB 2

Odd

Even

CORNERS & CARDS

Corners < 9.5

Corners > 9.5

1H Corners < 4.5

1H Corners > 4.5

Cards < 3.5

Cards > 3.5

ASIAN HANDICAP

Home 0

Away 0

1H Home 0

1H Away 0

Corners Home -1

Corners Away -1

HALF TIME / FULL TIME

1/1

1/X

1/2

X/1

X/X

X/2

2/1

2/X

2/2

HOME

Derby
League Pos 23/24

Championship

Form

Last 6

PPG

Overall

0.50

Home

			 L2026-11-03 19:45:00
Derby - Norwich
0-4L2026-10-17 14:00:00
Derby - Stoke
0-1D2026-10-10 14:00:00
Derby - Wrexham
1-1L2026-09-12 11:30:00
Derby - Birmingham
1-2L2026-09-09 18:45:00
Derby - West Bromwich
0-1L2026-08-29 11:30:00
Derby - Swansea
0-3			 

0.29

Away

0.71

Statistics

Overall

Home

Away

Win%

14%

AVG

2.86

2.57

3.14

Scored

0.79

0.57

1.00

Conceded

2.07

2.00

2.14

BTTS

57%

43%

71%

AWAY

Bolton
League Pos 17/24

Championship

Form

Last 6

PPG

Overall

1.21

Home

			 L2026-10-31 15:00:00
Bolton - Bristol City
2-3L2026-10-23 19:00:00
Bolton - Middlesbrough
1-5L2026-10-10 14:00:00
Bolton - Stoke
1-2W2026-09-12 11:30:00
Bolton - Cardiff
1-0L2026-09-08 19:00:00
Bolton - West Ham
2-3L2026-08-29 14:00:00
Bolton - Lincoln City
0-1			 

0.86

Away

1.57

Statistics

Overall

Home

Away

Win%

36%

29%

43%

AVG

3.21

3.43

3.00

Scored

1.36

1.29

1.43

Conceded

1.86

2.14

1.57

BTTS

57%

71%

43%

FT 1HF 2HF All Home Away

1X2

O/U

O/U 0.5

O/U 1.5

O/U 2.5

O/U 3.5

O/U 4.5

O/U 5.5

O/U 6.5

BTS

0 - 1

2 - 3

4 - 6

HT/FT

Corners

O/U 2.5

O/U 3.5

O/U 4.5

O/U 5.5

O/U 6.5

O/U 7.5

O/U 8.5

O/U 9.5

O/U 10.5

O/U 11.5

O/U 12.5

O/U 13.5

Cards

Red

Yellow

O/U 0.5

O/U 1.5

O/U 2.5

O/U 3.5

O/U 4.5

O/U 5.5

O/U 6.5

England: Championship

Promotion

Promotion Playoffs

Qualification Playoffs

Relegation

FORM

Derby

Form - Home

0.33

Bolton

Form - Away

1.17

Derby

Norwich

Millwall

Derby

Sheffield United

Derby

Stoke

Queens Park Rangers

Derby

Wrexham

Derby

Norwich

Derby

Stoke

Derby

Wrexham

Derby

Birmingham

Derby

West Bromwich

Derby

Swansea

Millwall

Derby

Sheffield United

Derby

Queens Park Rangers

Derby

Burnley

Derby

West Ham

Derby

Portsmouth

Derby

Bolton is +56% better in terms of Form

Charlton

Bolton

Bristol City

Bolton

Middlesbrough

Southampton

Bolton

Wolverhampton

Bolton

Stoke

Bolton

Bristol City

Bolton

Middlesbrough

Bolton

Stoke

Bolton

Cardiff

Bolton

West Ham

Bolton

Lincoln City

Charlton

Bolton

Southampton

Bolton

Wolverhampton

Bolton

Norwich

Bolton

Millwall

Bolton

Sheffield United

Bolton

OVER+

Over 0.5 +

100%

93%
Average

86%

Over 1.5 +

86%

75%
Average

64%

Over 2.5 +

57%

61%
Average

64%

Over 3.5 +

29%

39%
Average

50%

Over 4.5 +

14%

25%
Average

36%

Over 5.5 +

7%
Average

14%

UNDER-

Under 0.5 -

7%
Average

14%

Under 1.5 -

14%

25%
Average

36%

Under 2.5 -

43%

39%
Average

36%

Under 3.5 -

71%

61%
Average

50%

Under 4.5 -

86%

75%
Average

64%

Under 5.5 -

100%

93%
Average

86%

CORNERS

9.07

Corners / match

* Average corner kicks per match for
Derby and Bolton for the current season

Derby

9.14 Corners / match

Bolton

9.00 Corners / match

Corners Over 7.5 ~ 13.5

Derby

Bolton

Average

Over 7.5

79%

64%

71%

Over 8.5

79%

50%

64%

Over 9.5

57%

50%

54%

Over 10.5

43%

Over 11.5

29%

43%

36%

Over 12.5

29%

Over 13.5

21%

Corners Under 7.5 ~ 13.5

Derby

Bolton

Average

Under 7.5

21%

36%

29%

Under 8.5

21%

50%

36%

Under 9.5

43%

50%

46%

Under 10.5

57%

Under 11.5

71%

57%

64%

Under 12.5

71%

Under 13.5

79%

YELLOW CARDS

Cards / match

Derby

Cards / match

Bolton

Average Cards / match

All games

2.21-1.64 / 3.86

1.57-1.36 / 2.93

3.39

Home - Away

2.00-1.57 / 3.57

1.71-1.00 / 2.71

3.14

Cards Over 0.5 ~ 6.5

Derby

Bolton

Average

Over 0.5

100%

93%

96%

Over 1.5

86%

79%

82%

Over 2.5

79%

43%

61%

Over 3.5

57%

29%

43%

Over 4.5

50%

29%

39%

Over 5.5

14%

Over 6.5

Cards Under 0.5 ~ 6.5

Derby

Bolton

Average

Under 0.5

Under 1.5

14%

21%

18%

Under 2.5

21%

57%

39%

Under 3.5

43%

71%

57%

Under 4.5

50%

71%

61%

Under 5.5

86%

Under 6.5

100%

93%

96%

RED CARDS

Cards / match

Derby

Cards / match

Bolton

Average Cards / match

All games

0.07-0.07 / 0.14

0.07-0.14 / 0.21

0.18

Home - Away

0.00-0.14 / 0.14

0.14-0.14 / 0.29

0.21

PREVIOUS RESULT

Derby

(44%)

18Matches

(33%)

Bolton

(22%)

1-0
16-03-2024

2-1
02-09-2023

2-1
21-01-2023

0-0
27-12-2022

4-0
13-04-2019

Over 0.5 +

83%
15/18 times

Over 1.5 +

67%
12/18 times

Over 2.5 +

44%
8/18 times

Over 3.5 +

22%
4/18 times

BTTS

44%
8/18 times

Clean Sheet

78%
Derby

Clean Sheet

50%
Bolton

FORM - HALF - TIME

Derby

Form - Home

0.83

HALF TIME

Bolton is +6% better in terms of HT Form

Bolton

Form - Away

1.50

HALF TIME

OVER + - HALF - TIME

Over 0.5 + (HT)

93%

82%
Average

71%

Over 1.5 + (HT)

43%

43%
Average

43%

Over 2.5 + (HT)

29%

25%
Average

21%

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Where our tips win

+11Best day · 26 OctBest day this fortnight: Monday 26 October, +10.6 units from 78 tips.

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Derby vs Bolton Match Preview

Derby

Bolton

Match Info

Value vs the market

Corners & Cards - This Season

DerbyBolton

Most Common Results

Result frequency 14 matches each

Stats - England Championship

HOME

AWAY

Derby

Bolton

Derby

Bolton

Derby

Bolton

Derby

Bolton

Derby

Bolton

Derby

Bolton

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